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Archive

All 129 essays, sorted by year.

2026

Wealth, Preferences, and Culture2026-06-11
2026-06-11
The Goldfish Student: Why AI Needs Better Context, Not More Context2026-06-01
2026-06-01
AI Skills Reuse Instructions. Contracts Also Ensure Output Quality.2026-05-23
2026-05-23
Seven Ways to Get Better Results from LLMs at Work2026-05-21
2026-05-21
The Anthropomorphization of the Human Brain2026-05-16
2026-05-16
Put Your Ego Into Your Future Self2026-04-26
2026-04-26
Moral Dilemmas2026-04-26
2026-04-26
What makes humans special?2026-04-25
2026-04-25
The Importance of Early Check-Ins2026-04-16
2026-04-16
Incentives can buy more of a behavior, but rarely create it2026-03-28
2026-03-28
Standards Don't Enforce Themselves2026-03-17
2026-03-17
Risk management as a competitive advantage2026-03-07
2026-03-07
Policy Lab2026-03-05
2026-03-05
Automation vs Upskilling (in AI)2026-03-01
2026-03-01
5 Techniques for Better AI Outcomes2026-02-16
2026-02-16
A Simple Setup for a Self-Improving Claude2026-02-13
2026-02-13
The gap between 'rolled out' and 'adopted'2026-02-08
2026-02-08
Principled Decision-Making in Competitive Environments2026-01-25
2026-01-25
Elastic and Plastic Change2026-01-22
2026-01-22
Resistance is Signal2026-01-20
2026-01-20
Police Shootings, and a Lesson in Post-Mortems2026-01-10
2026-01-10
Yearly Reflection and Mental Habits2026-01-03
2026-01-03

2025

2025 in Review2025-12-23
2025-12-23
Ergodicity in Career Decisions: Which Risks Are Worth Taking2025-12-22
2025-12-22
Ergodicity and Insurance: Why 'Bad Bets' Make Sense2025-12-22
2025-12-22
Ergodicity in Investing: Why Most Portfolio Advice Is Wrong2025-12-21
2025-12-21
Ergodicity vs Expected Value: Why Smart Bets Can Still Ruin You2025-12-21
2025-12-21
Ergodicity Economics2025-12-20
2025-12-20
The Survey Trap2025-12-11
2025-12-11
The Size of The Box2025-12-11
2025-12-11
Rethinking Redistribution Gradients2025-12-03
2025-12-03
Voluntary Scarcity and the Myth of the Middle-Class Poverty Line2025-12-02
2025-12-02
Managerial Transitions2025-11-15
2025-11-15
The Case for Scientific Rigor2025-10-31
2025-10-31
Medical Culture2025-10-11
2025-10-11
How transferable are best practices?2025-10-04
2025-10-04
Incentives are overrated2025-09-27
2025-09-27
Hercule Poirot and solving business problems2025-09-20
2025-09-20
The problem with team-building activities2025-09-04
2025-09-04
Tacit knowledge2025-08-24
2025-08-24
Positive-Sum Game: The Optimal Selfish Choice (Game Theory Explained)2025-08-19
2025-08-19
The missing element in change initiatives2025-08-16
2025-08-16
Talking with your Manager about Better Management2025-07-27
2025-07-27
Screwworms and Maintenance Culture2025-07-19
2025-07-19
Tactics vs. Strategies2025-06-10
2025-06-10
Circularity, and how to spot it2025-06-07
2025-06-07
Minimal Quality of Life2025-05-27
2025-05-27
Cultural subsidies2025-05-26
2025-05-26
The Power of Commitment2025-05-26
2025-05-26
The Key To Success2025-05-20
2025-05-20
The 0.03-Second Margin2025-05-20
2025-05-20
Managerial Capabilities Assessment2025-05-17
2025-05-17
The Depolarization Manifesto2025-04-26
2025-04-26
Assessing Communication Quality and Stakeholder Performance2025-04-19
2025-04-19
The problem with LASIK patient satisfaction surveys2025-04-14
2025-04-14
Adversarial vs Collaborative Feedback2025-04-10
2025-04-10
How to kill a country's education system2025-04-10
2025-04-10
The trajectory2025-04-10
2025-04-10
How to kill a country's economy2025-04-10
2025-04-10
The simpler way to get your team to use AI2025-03-16
2025-03-16
How to Use Soft Metrics to Develop Your Team's Skills2025-03-15
2025-03-15
Three Mistakes That Derail AI Adoption2025-03-04
2025-03-04

2024

Everything I published in 20242024-12-27
2024-12-27
Static thinking is idiotic policy making2024-12-14
2024-12-14
The Planner and the Gatekeeper2024-12-01
2024-12-01
Reproducible Success Strategies2024-12-01
2024-12-01
The Chess Paradox2024-12-01
2024-12-01
The Maintenance Paradox2024-12-01
2024-12-01
Bad, good, great2024-11-30
2024-11-30
Five thoughts on management2024-11-28
2024-11-28
Hobby Mode2024-11-26
2024-11-26
Selection Effects2024-11-21
2024-11-21
The Manager's Role from the employees' point of view2024-10-07
2024-10-07
Democracies and Long-Term Games2024-09-06
2024-09-06
How to get feedback from your team2024-09-04
2024-09-04
The Dellanna Method2024-09-02
2024-09-02
Five telltale signs of good managers2024-09-02
2024-09-02
Coaches should be experts2024-09-02
2024-09-02
Values, Time Horizons, and Social Technologies2024-09-02
2024-09-02
What it means to be an adult2024-08-27
2024-08-27
Long-term risks in investing2024-08-25
2024-08-25
Pulled-forward growth2024-08-24
2024-08-24
Culture Wars2024-08-18
2024-08-18
What’s better, learning from Ws or Ls?2024-08-13
2024-08-13
The Dellanna Diagrams2024-06-24
2024-06-24
Short-Term Activism2024-06-21
2024-06-21
Reversing the Arrow of Time2024-05-23
2024-05-23
Mentorship Meetings2024-03-05
2024-03-05
Ethics Studies2024-01-26
2024-01-26
Agency is trainable2024-01-10
2024-01-10
Cars, efficiency, and drivers2024-01-07
2024-01-07

2023

Dog Training2023-12-14
2023-12-14
A one-minute exercise to de-risk your life2023-11-13
2023-11-13
Culture is the track record2023-09-23
2023-09-23
How I built a Twitter network from scratch2023-08-23
2023-08-23
Races to the bottom2023-08-11
2023-08-11
Metapractice2023-06-13
2023-06-13
Mixed Signals, Mixed Results2023-06-05
2023-06-05
Why people do not listen to your feedback2023-04-19
2023-04-19
Lindy for Managers2023-03-10
2023-03-10
Wittgenstein's Ruler and business metrics2023-03-09
2023-03-09
Ergodicity as a Non-Binary Property2023-02-28
2023-02-28
How to coach your team to write more effective emails2023-02-20
2023-02-20

2022

Ten tips to become a better presenter2022-11-25
2022-11-25
Superclarity2022-11-05
2022-11-05
The First-Order Thinking Bias2022-06-18
2022-06-18
Skill, Luck, and Imitation [Did Elon Musk get lucky?]2022-06-18
2022-06-18
10 ways to kill motivation as a manager2022-05-11
2022-05-11
3 Catalysts For Change2022-03-14
2022-03-14

2021

Too much micromanagement or too little management?2021-11-21
2021-11-21
23 tips for a better career as an employee2021-01-30
2021-01-30

2020

The Lindy Effect2020-12-06
2020-12-06
Just In Time2020-09-06
2020-09-06
Wittgenstein’s Ruler2020-05-20
2020-05-20
Circuit Breakers extended2020-04-20
2020-04-20
Mimetic Societies2020-03-28
2020-03-28
Fractal Action2020-02-29
2020-02-29
What will we have learnt from the coronavirus outbreak?2020-01-29
2020-01-29

2019

Critical Mass2019-11-10
2019-11-10
Bottom-Up Manifesto2019-10-16
2019-10-16
Autistic Perception: the Magnifying Glass Example2019-06-01
2019-06-01
The Implicit Rules of Social Interactions with Neurotypicals2019-06-01
2019-06-01

2018

Fragilization2018-08-15
2018-08-15
Ruthlessly Pareto Your Activities2018-08-07
2018-08-07
Solving the sources of your problems2018-03-15
2018-03-15
The Fence Paradox in medicine: the third kind of iatrogenics2018-01-31
2018-01-31

2017

Pain is a signal of vulnerability2017-08-02
2017-08-02
Bad decisions in life arise from having optimized for the wrong metric2017-07-17
2017-07-17
The Grey Area in Company Culture2017-03-25
2017-03-25

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