Ergodicity as a non-binary property

Traditionally, ergodicity is defined as a binary property, but it can be better understood as a spectrum.

2023-02-28 by Luca Dellanna

#ergodicity#taleb

Traditionally, ergodicity is defined as a binary property. This definition, useful in theoretical matters, is useless for decision-making in the real world, as almost all real-world processes are non-ergodic.

Here, I introduce the concept of ergodicity as a non-binary property and suggest a few real-world applications.

The purpose of studying ergodicity

Ergodicity is one of the most important concepts in economics. If you are unfamiliar with the term, I suggest my book on the topic.

If, instead, you are familiar with the term, you might have wondered how it applies to everyday life. In particular, you might have wondered which activities in life are ergodic and which are non-ergodic.

The answer is simple. Almost everything in real life is non-ergodic. The fully ergodic mostly lives only in theory and simulations.

What's the purpose of studying ergodicity, then, if nothing is ergodic?

The answer is that, while everything is non-ergodic, something is more non-ergodic than others - and questions such as "what alternative is less non-ergodic" or "how can we make this activity less non-ergodic" matter.

I recently published a paper on ergodicity as a non-binary property, where I examine these questions. You will learn how to interpret ergodicity as a spectrum and how to apply it to real-life conditions.

Ergodicity

How irreversible outcomes affect long-term performance in work, investing, relationships, sport, and beyond

Cover of Ergodicity

Some reviews

5 out of 5 stars

"One of the most important books I've read, period. It's short, articulate, and expansive on a singular subject matter — ergodicity, which is really the key ingredient to success in life, marriage, business, family, happiness, health, etc."

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Blake Janover

CEO, Janover Inc.

5 out of 5 stars

"One of the most important books for everyone to read. Ergodicity should be taught in school and it should be a common metric in businesses that leaders pay attention to and are deliberate about."

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Matt Cannon

5 out of 5 stars

"A fascinating book […] Once I started, I couldn't put it down […] the math is minimal, and Luca treats the subject well. I wish I had read it two years earlier"

Robert Matthews

VP of Engineering, Equifax

5 out of 5 stars

"One of the very best books I read about risk management. A must read."

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Alessandro Francescotto

Partner, Excellence Consulting

5 out of 5 stars

"Profoundly insightful [...] If you are someone who often needs to make decisions under uncertainty and using incomplete information (which I think applies to most of us), then Ergodicity is a must-read."

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Dev Ashish

StableInvestor Founder

5 out of 5 stars

"Brilliant. Must read."

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N. S. Ramnath

Journalist & Author

5 out of 5 stars

"A brilliant, concise, thought-provoking gem. A must-read for investors."

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Rakesh

Investor

5 out of 5 stars

"A great book for those who quickly want to familiarize themselves with the concept of ergodicity. The author goes to great lengths explaining the concept in easily understandable terms. Highly recommended!"

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Auke Hunneman

BI Norwegian Business School

5 out of 5 stars

"It helped clarify several longstanding pragmatic questions I had about uncertainty and risk [...] a lucid explanation, accessible for a general audience."

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Pankaj Saikia

Datafarer co-founder.

5 out of 5 stars

"Excellent book. Highly recommended. Luca compresses a lot of wisdom and actionable guidance into few words. No fluff, no fillers, only thought through foundational ideas."

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Eleanor Berger

AI consultant

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