Here is a list of my Twitter threads since January 2019 (previous ones are not indexed yet).
I update this list every month. Threads are in reverse chronological order. Watch for the starred ⭐️ posts!
Also, I write interesting things in my free newsletter.
2023 – May
- Five advices for graduates looking for a good job
- Random distributions (when R doesn’t mean correlation)
- On wealth taxes
2023 – April
- Autistic perception visualized
- Four tips to improve your slides
- Two reasons people don’t listen to your feedback
2023 – March
2023 – February
2023 – January
- On mosquito eradication and its risks
- On intelligence (parts 1, 2, and 3)
- Audits should be to catch the good, not just the bad
- Common prioritization mistakes
- Why do incentives only work on some people?
2022 – December
2022 – November
- My notes from Taleb’s lecture in Torino
- Ten tips to become a better presenter
- On free speech
- How to make team meetings more engaging and effective
- How to communicate more concretely
- Quiz: coaching your subordinates on providing better ideas
2022 – October & September
- No threads of significance
2022 – August:
- Building personal judgement in your employees
- Training people on doing things right, not just the right things
- Six opinions on managing remote teams
- Common mistakes in managing remote teams
2022 – July:
- Zero COVID
- Optimizing your life
- How to ask for ideas & suggestions
- Increasing hospitals’ efficiency
- Mediocre vs great managers
- Improving the quality of your meetings
- A corporate event that actually increases teamwork
- 10 actions you can take today to be a better manager for your employees
- ⭐️ The role of a manager from the employees’ point of view
- Clinging to the past
2022 – June:
- The very important never feels urgent
- The implicit rules of the game
- AI, the killer writer
- Core Values and costs
- Mosquitoes are preventable
- Highlights and comments on Zack Kanter’s annual letter
- 5 false beliefs in people management
- 12 tips to become a better manager overnight
- 12 common operational problems
- Management by fairness
- Making employees more effective
- 5 Tips to manage remote employees
- How does AGI work in the human brain
2022 – May:
- Asking questions
- Ergodicity, cooperation, and evolution
- 13 red flags a scientist might be a charlatan
- 10 ways to kill creativity as a manager
- 13 ways to increase student debt
- 7 signs a management consultant is a charlatan
- Management consulting and behavioral observation
- 10 signs an epidemiologist is a charlatan
- ⭐️ 10 ways to kill motivation as a manager
- Counterfactuals
2022 – April:
- People management quiz
- ⭐️ Why do masks seem not to work
- ⭐️ The Planner and the Gatekeeper
- Autistic perception
2022 – March:
- no thread
2022 – February:
2022 – January:
- The Herd Immunity mirage
- Endemic diseases
- Excess Mortality in Italy (part 1)
- Excess Mortality in Italy (part 2)
- The Expected Value of breaking the law
- A thread on herd immunity
- The first chapter of the second edition of my book “Ergodicity”
2021 – December:
2021 – November:
2021 – October:
2021 – September:
2021 – August:
2021 – July:
- Do vaccines increase the risk of variants?
- Pain is not a signal of damage but of vulnerability
- Tips to avoid credit card fraud
- ⭐️ A visual framework for antifragility
- On narrative fallacies and soccer penalties
2021 – June:
2021 – May:
- Writing & publishing Roam Books, the easy way
- Be clear about what makes you angry
- What fines can teach about management
- The 3 rules of effective incentives
- ⭐️ Getting core values adopted
2021 – April:
- Why managers micromanage
- Behavioral confabulations
- Five reasons organizations fail to get core values adopted
- The pyramid of risk (recommended read)
- Capillarity
- The distributed brain
2021 – March:
- Eagles dying and complex systems
- Two questions regarding the pandemic
- Theoretical vs practical skin in the game
- On irrational behavior (excerpts from The Control Heuristic)
- Reopening with CO2 detectors
- On management (excerpts from Best Practices for Operational Excellence)
- Fatigue and antifragility
- Ergodicity and the tragedy of the commons
- The reasons for irrational behavior
- Problems with consulting
- Curation 2.0
2021 – February:
- Is Autism a two-tailed spectrum?
- Trolley problems
- Thoughts on herd immunity
- Coin-flip bets and why people (correctly) refuse them
- The hidden side of non-ergodicity
2021 – January:
- How to deliver memorable presentations
- The importance of high-res maps to understand the pandemic
- An experiment in empathy
- On principles
- ⭐️ Thoughts on censorship
- Problems with readiness reports
- Semantic wars
- Fractal deployment
- My top 10 threads of 2020
- On the importance of defaults on education
- On the opportunity costs of teaching Latin
2020-Q4:
- Everything I published in 2020 (blog post)
- ⭐️ On motivation – Optimize for bite-sized improvements
- ⭐️ The Lindy Effect, generalized, also available as blog post
- Vaccine and COVID tail risk
- Ghost kitchens and influencers
- How to get a great manager for your first job
- ⭐️ Why is ergodicity important? An example
- A non-binary view of ergodicity
- Asking for raises
- Never confuse the necessary for the sufficient
- Lessons we could have learned from the pandemic (but didn’t)
- On the importance of defaults
- ⭐️ On delegation
- Why is the 2nd COVID wave deadlier than the first?
- How to Pareto-prioritize Twitter
- On student debt
- More parameters don’t always lead to greater accuracy
- The future of newsletters
- Metapractice: practice your practice
- Centralization, partisanship, and data compression
- Roam Books are the future of eBooks (also check Roam-Books.com)
- Face masks work even if the virus is smaller than the holes in the fabric
- A review of bad arguments against face masks
2020-Q3:
- On voting from home
- On herd immunity
- On the lessons we will take out of the pandemic
- A summary of all my books
- Teams are adaptive systems
2020-Q2:
- On willpower
- ⭐️ Costly signaling – the forgotten management tool
- We can learn more on longevity from the elder than from the eldest
- Lindy and the pandemic
- Estimating the Lindiness of studies
- ⭐️ Management principles
- Milestones
- Core Values adoption
- ⭐️ Mimetic societies
- ⭐️ Pareto prioritization
- The false regulation dichotomy
- The second edition of “100 Truths You Will Learn Too Late”
- Does Just In Time (JIT) bring fragility?
- ⭐️ Quotes from Orwell’s 1984 rewritten to match the current state of the markets
2020-Q1:
- ⭐️Ergodicity and the pandemic
- Is Italy really slowing down?
- What we can learn from Italy’s hardest-hit area
- The long-term effect of green and red areas on monetary unions
- Why doesn’t EuroMOM show a spike in mortality yet?
- ⭐️Wittgenstein’s ruler
- Attribution of cause of death
- Cargocultocracies
- Soccer and the Italian outbreak
- ⭐️The ludic fallacy
- How many people are really dying in Italy?
- Population preparedness
- Face masks
- Bandaids and circuit breakers
- What comes after the lockdown?
- Do lockdowns work? How much? When?
- ⭐️Cargo cults and the pandemic
- P-values
- Placebos, nocebos and the emergency response
- Why herd immunity is a terrible idea
- Getting home isolation right
- Why did Taiwan resist so well?
- Pandemics grow the size they need to be acknowledged, and then 100x after that
- The mortality rate
- A timeline of what Italy did (and wasn’t enough)
- The slow-motion train-wreck that was Italy’s response
- The mortality rate is not the problem
- Why is quarantine a 14-days step-function?
- Multiplicative dynamics and the pandemic
- On leverage
- Visual communication and face masks
- Lindy objectives
2019-Q4:
- Ergodicity and antifragility
- On working long hours
- Exposure dynamics
- ⭐️17 things you should know before your first day at the office
- Adaptation dynamics
- Adaptation mechanics: how things adapt
- ⭐️Damage mechanics: how things break
- The rationale of risk-taking
- ⭐️How good policies and technologies get adopted
- Trust-as-a-service
- Getting Core Values adopted
- Applications of the Fence Paradox to real-world policies
- Morality and ergodicity
- ⭐️The false efficiency of centralization
- Redundancy: good or bad?
- The bottom-up manifesto
- ⭐️Getting AI/ML to understand context
- Thoughts on ergodicity
- ⭐️The dynamics of the antifragile
2019-Q3:
2019-H1:
- ⭐️Borders
- The need for borders
- 10 Theses on Education
- Capitalism and Socialism aren’t what people think they are
- The need for independence
- Rules to Understand the World
- The Fence Paradox
- Internal Karma
- Why efficiency only makes sense in a few restricted fields
- Some surprising ways in which our brain works
- The Toyota Production System (TPS)
- The Fundamental Principle of Human Behavior
- Why often people care more about plausibility than truth
- Why evil necessitates admissibility
2018 and earlier:
- Principles to understand our mind
- You can work to solve your problems, and see them coming back tomorrow, or you can work to resolve the sources of your problems, and never see them again
- Debt and optionality in life
- Marginal value
- ⭐️All bad decisions in life arise from having optimized for the wrong metric
- What got you here won’t get you there
I also wrote a few books:
- This Is Management: the most principled book you’ll ever read on management.
- Teams Are Adaptive Systems: on team management.
- Ergodicity: Definition, Examples, And Implications, as simple as possible
- Best Practices for Operational Excellence: a must-read for any Operations Manager or CEO.
- 100 Truths You Will Learn Too Late: a hundred mental models for getting control of your life and of your mind.
- The Power of Adaptation: how successful organizations & individuals evolve, and how you can develop yourself.
- The World Through a Magnifying Glass: how & why individuals with autism think and behave the way they do.
- The Control Heuristic: explaining irrational behaviors. Pre-orders for the 2nd edition are open!
You might also be interested into my research papers.